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Seasonality

Seasonality in stock and commodity markets refers to recurring patterns or trends that occur at specific times of the year. These patterns can significantly influence pricing and trading behavior, providing opportunities for informed investors. Understanding the seasonal cycles can help traders and investors optimize their strategies.

52 articles

May 31, 2026 Seasonality

Ripple's December Average Return at 77.17% Over 9 Years

Currently in May, Ripple shows a historical average return of -4.44% with a 44% win-rate. Notably, December stands out with a staggering average return of +77.17% despite only a 33% win-rate.

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May 31, 2026 Seasonality

VXN Shows 21 Years of January Gains at 8.60% Average

May's historical performance for VXN shows a slight negative bias, but January and November present the strongest seasonal edges. Understanding these patterns can help traders align expectations with probabilistic priors.

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May 30, 2026 Seasonality

VXD Shows 8.29% Gain in January's Volatility Patterns

As we enter May, VXD's historical seasonality shows an average gain of 3.99% but with a modest win-rate of 42%. January stands out with the strongest positive bias, while December typically underperforms.

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May 30, 2026 Seasonality

VIX Seasonality: February Average Return at +16.43%

As we navigate May, historically a challenging month for VIX with a -6.28% average return and a 24% win-rate, understanding seasonal trends can provide valuable context. February emerges as the standout month with a +16.43% average return.

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May 29, 2026 Seasonality

STOXX 50 Shows April's 1.88% Gain, June's -1.63% Decline

As we navigate May, a month with historically neutral returns for the ESTX 50 PR.EUR, it's crucial to explore standout seasonal patterns. April and June emerge as the most significant months with distinct performances.

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May 29, 2026 Seasonality

Silver's January Effect: Average Return of +4.64%

May presents a modest historical gain for Silver, but January stands out with a robust 4.64% average return and a 70% win-rate. Understanding these patterns can help frame expectations, though they are probabilistic, not guarantees.

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May 28, 2026 Seasonality

Russell 2000's November Shows 2.72% Return and 81% Win-Rate

May's historical average return of +0.61% with a 67% win-rate sets a positive tone for the Russell 2000. Notably, November shines with a +2.72% average return and an 81% win-rate, while September remains a challenge.

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May 28, 2026 Seasonality

NZD/USD December Shows 1.18% Average Return, 70% Win Rate

As we enter May, a month with a historical average return of -0.55% and a 45% win-rate, traders should note the standout patterns: December's robust positive bias and August's significant downside risk.

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May 27, 2026 Seasonality

NZD/JPY December Gains Average 1.30% with 75% Win-Rate

In May, NZD/JPY tends to decline slightly, with a 55% win-rate. December offers the most promising seasonal edge, boasting a 1.30% average gain and a 75% win-rate over 20 years.

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May 27, 2026 Seasonality

NZD/CHF September Shows Average Return of +0.42%

As May unfolds with a historical average return of -0.27%, NZD/CHF traders should note September's strong performance and August's notable weakness. Understanding these patterns provides valuable probabilistic priors.

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May 26, 2026 Seasonality

NZD/CAD Seasonality Reveals December Gains of 1.10%

As we step into May, known for its weak performance for NZD/CAD, traders should be aware of the standout seasonal trends: December's strong gains and April's persistent losses. Analyzing 20 years of data provides insights into these recurring patterns.

AlphaTRADER

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May 26, 2026 Seasonality

NASDAQ 100's July Shows 85% Win-Rate and 3.56% Return

As we enter May, the NASDAQ 100's historical seasonality suggests a positive bias with a 1.55% average return. However, standout months like July and September warrant attention due to their strong and weak patterns, respectively.

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