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Seasonality

Seasonality in stock and commodity markets refers to recurring patterns or trends that occur at specific times of the year. These patterns can significantly influence pricing and trading behavior, providing opportunities for informed investors. Understanding the seasonal cycles can help traders and investors optimize their strategies.

235 articles

Sep 18, 2026 Seasonality

NASDAQ 100 Rises 3.45% in July 85% of the Time

NASDAQ 100 shows a notable seasonal pattern with July averaging a 3.45% gain and an 85% win-rate over 20 years. September, however, tends to underperform, averaging a -0.19% return with a 60% win-rate.

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Sep 18, 2026 Seasonality

Nikkei 225 Gains 2.56% in April, Loses 1.70% in February

Nikkei 225 shows a strong seasonal pattern with a 2.56% average gain in April and a 1.70% decline in February over 11 years. Traders should consider these probabilistic priors while acknowledging their limitations.

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Sep 17, 2026 Seasonality

Litecoin's April Gains 16.36% on Average, 67% Win-Rate

Litecoin's September struggles with a -6.07% average return and 33% win-rate, while April shines with a 16.36% average gain and 67% win-rate over 12 years.

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Sep 17, 2026 Seasonality

Chainlink Surges in January: +24.53% Avg Return, 78% Win-Rate

Chainlink (LINK-USD) shows a robust January performance, averaging +24.53% with a 78% win-rate over 9 years. Meanwhile, March historically struggles with a -6.39% average return and a 44% win-rate.

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Sep 16, 2026 Seasonality

S&P 500 Gains 3.91% in November 80% of the Time

The S&P 500 often sees gains in November, with an average return of +3.91% and an 80% win-rate over 20 years. September, however, tends to be weaker, showing an average decline of -1.17% with a 50% win-rate.

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Sep 16, 2026 Seasonality

DAX Posts Strong April Returns: Avg +2.90%, 75% Win-Rate

September offers no clear directional bias for the DAX, but April stands out with a 2.90% average return and a 75% win-rate over 20 years. Understanding these patterns can guide strategic planning.

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Sep 15, 2026 Seasonality

Gold Sees January Gains in 70% of Cases Over 20 Years

Gold's September struggles with a 40% win-rate, while January shines with a 70% win-rate and +3.75% average return over 20 years.

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Sep 15, 2026 Seasonality

GBP/USD Gains in April: 85% Win-Rate Over 20 Years

GBP/USD exhibits a strong seasonal pattern in April with an average return of +1.24% and an 85% win-rate, while August shows a notable decline, averaging -0.94% with a 35% win-rate.

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Sep 14, 2026 Seasonality

GBP/NZD Posts Positive January Returns 65% of 20 Years

GBP/NZD exhibits a notable positive bias in January with a 65% win-rate and average return of +1.11% over 20 years. Conversely, December shows negative tendencies with a -1.32% average return and 45% win-rate.

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Sep 14, 2026 Seasonality

GBP/JPY April Gains: +1.51% Avg Return, 80% Win-Rate

GBP/JPY typically gains in April with an 80% win-rate and a 1.51% average return. Conversely, August tends to be bearish, showing a -1.26% average return and only a 30% win-rate.

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Sep 13, 2026 Seasonality

GBP/CHF Posts Positive April Return 70% of the Time

GBP/CHF shows a notable positive bias in April with a 70% win-rate and an average return of +0.81%. Conversely, December presents a challenging period with a -1.58% average return and a 35% win-rate.

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Sep 13, 2026 Seasonality

GBP/CAD Posts Positive January Returns 65% of 20 Years

GBP/CAD shows a notable positive bias in January with an average return of +0.84% and a 65% win-rate over 20 years. Conversely, February exhibits a negative pattern with a -0.56% average return and a 50% win-rate.

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